A study shows that AI-powered predictive impact scoring forecasts ad effectiveness with 83% accuracy, boosting brand performance and profit ROI at scale.
In collaboration with MMA Global, Vidmob, The Creative Data Company, and featuring Kellanova’s participation, we released findings from a first-of-its-kind study exploring how AI-powered predictive impact scoring can improve creative performance in digital advertising. The research found that predictive impact scoring can forecast 3-second view-through rates (VTR) with 83% accuracy, enhance performance by 2.16x, and contribute to an 11% increase in Profit ROI for scored assets—highlighting the link between creative quality and business outcomes.
Conducted between March 2024 and March 2025, the study analyzed more than 443 creative assets across Meta platforms in the U.S. using Vidmob’s Aperture technology. Assets from Kellanova brands—including Rice Krispies Treats, Pringles, Cheez-It, and Pop-Tarts—were evaluated to identify key creative drivers and build predictive models to improve future ad effectiveness.
The analysis surfaced 19 enterprise-wide and 11 category-specific scoring criteria based on platform best practices and brand-specific creative elements. Each asset was scored against these criteria, with 3-second VTR as the primary performance benchmark.
Predictive impact scores enabled the identification of high-performing assets and underperforming creatives in near real-time, allowing teams to make data-driven adjustments that minimized wasted media spend and improved campaign efficiency. The analysis also highlighted which creative decisions impacted performance most—insights that can inform future briefing, production, and optimization strategies.
“Creative is one of our most powerful levers for growth,” said Charisse Hughes, SVP, Chief Growth Officer at Kellanova. “Predictive impact scores are like creative fingerprints – unique to our brand, actionable and incredibly powerful for driving both brand distinctiveness and performance. At scale, these go beyond growth and drive transformation and with AI we can do this with increased speed and accuracy.”
Nicole Vinson, VP, Digital, Media and Omni-Shopper Experience at Kellanova, added: “By identifying the specific creative elements that drive performance—like consumption cues for salty snacks or indulgence visuals for sweet treats—we’re able to refine our briefs, optimize media investment in real time, and ensure each asset is built for effectiveness. This has changed how we brief, evaluate, and scale creative across teams.”
Category-level insights revealed that salty snack ads featuring consumption moments and social interaction consistently outperformed others, while sweet snack ads drove better results when emphasizing indulgence and vivid product visuals. These findings helped refine creative briefs and inform media strategy based on brand-specific needs.
“This study illustrates how predictive models can be applied to creative assets at scale,” said Alex Collmer, Founder and CEO of Vidmob. “By analyzing over 20,000 creative decisions in a matter of hours, we’re helping marketers unlock meaningful insights that improve performance, streamline production, and enable more strategic investments in creative.”
